The Berlin conference URC2024 on Ukraine’s reconstruction, part of a series of summer summits aimed at supporting the embattled nation, has captured significant attention.
Although this is not the first such gathering, it stands out due to several crucial factors highlighting the evolving international stance on Ukraine.
Strengthening International Support
The Berlin conference is part of a broader initiative, following a recent meeting in France involving U.S. President Joe Biden and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
This meeting, held during the 80th anniversary of the Allied landing in Normandy, included discussions with leaders from the U.S., France, and Ukraine, focusing on support for Ukraine’s resistance against Russian aggression.
In Berlin, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, alongside other leading Western politicians and business figures, underscored their continued backing for Ukraine.
This conference sets the stage for a crucial Group of Seven (G7) summit in Brindisi, Italy, where the support for Ukraine will be a priority. President Zelensky is expected to attend, along with other key international leaders, to discuss further aid and cooperation.
A notable highlight of the Brindisi summit will be the anticipated signing of a security agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine, ensuring sustained assistance if Russia continues its aggressive actions post-war.
Following this, a peace summit in Lucerne will address elements of President Zelensky’s peace plan, symbolising international commitment to resolving the conflict.
Internal Struggles and Pragmatic Goals
The Berlin conference also highlights internal political challenges within Ukraine. Notably, the heads of Ukraine’s Reconstruction Agency resigned shortly before the conference, and the Minister of Infrastructure has been absent for an extended period.
This suggests a recognition within Kyiv that immediate reconstruction might not be a feasible priority amidst ongoing warfare.
During the initial recovery conference in Lugano, both Western and Ukrainian politicians were optimistic, possibly underestimating the conflict’s longevity.
The expectation that Russian President Vladimir Putin might soon halt military actions has since faded. Current consensus recognises the protracted nature of the conflict, with no clear political resolution in sight.
Putin’s recent statements at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum further underscore Russia’s intent to continue a war of attrition, confirming his expansionist ambitions.
This scenario necessitates a shift from planning extensive post-war reconstruction to addressing immediate needs caused by ongoing destruction.
Urgent Need for Air Defence Systems
A critical outcome of the Berlin conference has been the recognition of the urgent need for enhanced air defence systems for Ukraine.
President Zelensky highlighted the severe losses in energy infrastructure due to Russian airstrikes, emphasising the importance of preventing further damage, especially with the winter season approaching.
“Eighty percent of thermal generation in Ukraine, and one-third of hydroelectric generation, have been destroyed by (Russian President Vladimir) Putin. And this is not the limit of his terror”, Zelensky said.
Germany, along with other Western nations, has been urged to increase the supply of air defence systems to protect Ukraine’s remaining infrastructure.
This pragmatic approach marks a departure from the previously optimistic discussions about comprehensive reconstruction, reflecting a more realistic understanding of the immediate requirements.
Long-term Considerations
The effectiveness of future reconstruction efforts hinges on the war’s duration and the eventual control over Ukrainian territories.
The current political leaders, actively engaged in supporting Ukraine, might not hold their positions by the time reconstruction becomes viable.
A new generation of European politicians could bring different perspectives on Ukraine’s place in Europe and the strategies for rebuilding its infrastructure.
Presently, Ukraine’s primary focus must be on defending itself against Russia’s intent to depopulate and devastate Ukrainian regions.
Putin’s strategy appears aimed at transforming Ukrainian territories into uninhabitable wastelands, forcing population displacement. This is evidenced by the ongoing situation in occupied Donbas and Crimea since 2014.
Conclusion
The Berlin conference marks a significant step towards a realistic approach in supporting Ukraine. The emphasis has shifted from long-term reconstruction plans to immediate defence needs, recognising the complex and prolonged nature of the conflict.
Future conferences are expected to further align with these realistic goals, moving away from overly optimistic narratives and towards practical support for Ukraine’s survival and eventual recovery.
As the international community continues to back Ukraine, the focus remains on ensuring effective air defence and addressing immediate needs, paving the way for a sustainable future once peace is attainable.
Read also:
Switzerland hands over Ukraine Recovery Conference hosting to UK
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