Ukraine: September Poll Shows Change In Political Attitudes - But Voters Loyalties Are "Uncertain"

According to a recent poll, should the presidential elections in Ukraine be held ‘this Sunday’, the vote might go as follows:

Yulia Tymoshenko (14.9%), Anatoliy Gritsenko 8.0%), Petro Poroshenko (7.9%), and Vadim Rabinovich (7.2%). The other candidates are likely to enjoy less support, but they are still showing: Yuriy Boyko (6.1%), Volodymyr Zelenskiy (6.1%), Oleg Lyashko (5.9%), Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (4.2%). 

Whilst candidates list are yet to be finalised, the politicians that would most likely participate in the elections are considered in this list..

As regards the parliamentary elections, the new Ukrainian parliament would consist of seven political parties. 

The biggest support of Ukrainian voters would be given to the Batkivschyna Party headed by Yulia Tymoshenko (11.3%) followed by “Gromadyanska Pozitsiya” of Anatoliy Gritsenko (8.2%), the Solidarnist Party of the incumbent Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko (7.8%), and ”Za Zhittya” Party headed by Vadim Rabinovich (7.3%). The other parties to enter the parliament are Opposition Bloc headed by Yuriy Boyko (7.2%), “Sluga Narodu” Party of Volodymyr Zelenskiy (6.9%), and the Radical Party headed by Oleg Lyashko (6.7%). 

Other parties including “Samopomich”, “Svoboda” and several others have quite modest chances to be represented in the parliament.

The confidence rating used to indicate whether the public's overall sentiment toward a politician is favorable or unfavorable showed that the most trusted Ukrainian politicians are Anatoliy Gritsenko (43.2% of the voters trust or mostly trust the politician), Vadim Rabinovich (35.4%), Volodymyr Zelenskiy (31.6%), and Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (27.9%). This group is followed by Oleg Lyashko (21.0%), Yulia Tymoshenko (20.2%), Petro Poroshenko (18.9%), and Yuriy Boyko (17.4%). These figures may prove that Ukrainian voters are tired of current politicians and long for new faces in Ukrainian policy.

The results of the survey are shown in the tables below.

Table 1. What will be the choice of yours if the presidential elections are to be held this Sunday?

(%, answers of those who already decided to vote)

Yulia Tymoshenko 14.9
Anatoliy Gritsenko 8.0
Petro Poroshenko 7.9
Vadym Rabinovich 7.2
Yuriy Boyko 6.1
Volodymyr Zelenskiy 6.1
Oleg Lyashko 5.9
Svyatoslav Vakarchuk 4.2
Other 11.0
Undecided 28.7

Table 2. What will be the choice of yours if the parliamentary elections are to be held this Sunday?

“Batkivschyna” (Yulia Tymoshenko) 11.3
“Gromadyanska Pozitsiya” (Anatoliy Gritsenko) 8.2
Bloc Petra Poroshenka “Solidarnist” 7.8
“Za Zhittya” (Vadim Rabinovich) 7.3
Opposition Bloc (Yuriy Boyko) 7.2
“Sluga Narodu” (Volodymyr Zelenskiy) 6.9
Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko 6.7
“Samopomich” (Andriy Sadoviy) 3.3
Another party 14.2
Undecided 27.1

Table 3. The confidence rating of selected Ukrainian politicians (data gathered in approval questions

– % of poll respondents that “trust or mostly trust” the politician
Anatoliy Gritsenko 43.2
Vadim Rabinovich 35.4
Volodymyr Zelenskiy 31.6
Svyatoslav Vakarchuk 27.9
Oleg Lyashko 21.0
Yulia Tymoshenko 20.2
Petro Poroshenko 18.9
Yuriy Boyko 17.4

The international research center BURI (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute) conducted the survey in
Ukraine from August 30 to September 7, 2018. Total quantity of respondents equaled 2004 individuals
(representational sample). The survey method – direct interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.

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Gary Cartwright

Gary Cartwright

Gary Cartwright is publishing editor of EU Today.

An experienced journalist and published author, he specialises in environment, energy, and defence.

He also has more than 10 years experience of working as a staff member in the EU institutions, working with political groups and MEPs in various policy areas.

Gary's latest book WANTED MAN: THE STORY OF MUKHTAR ABLYAZOV: A Manual for Criminals on How to Avoid Punishment in the EU is currently available from Amazon

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