Ukrainian elites switch to Kyiv mayoral elections with Klychko, Palchevskiy, & Omelchenko to get the most from the voting

According to a survey taken in October 2019, should Kyiv mayoral elections be held ‘this Sunday’, the biggest part of the voters would give their votes to the incumbent Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klychko (31.4%), founder of Eurolab medical clinic Andriy Palchevskiy (14.1%), former Mayor of Kyiv Oleksandr Omelchenko (9.7%), and former Director General of 1+1 Media holding Oleksandr Tkachenko (9.6%).

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The other parties so far have lesser public support to win a race for Mayor of Kyiv: Volodymyr Bondarenko – 6.7%, Andriy Illienko – 5.1%, Oleksandr Popov – 4.3%, Mykola Katerynchuk – 3.1%, Anatoliy Grytsenko – 2.8%, Gennadiy Balashov – 2.4%, Ihor Smeshko, etc. 

The poll embraced the candidates that would most likely participate in the elections. The results of the survey are shown in the table below. The table shows the answers of people that already decided to vote and defined their choice.

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Among the major political trends that would accompany the election campaign, the survey allows for the following conclusions:

  • Kyiv mayoral elections will probably have no correlation with results of presidential and parliamentary elections in Ukraine held earlier this year. A person representing “Sluga Narodu” political party that nourished the current President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskiy and is now dominating the Ukrainian parliament is far from having a solid chance to win the race.
  • Currently there are four real candidates that enjoy substantial public support in Kyiv. Difference in their current popularity allows no strict assumptions regarding the name of the next mayor. Though given the existing gap with other candidates position of the “Big Four” seems to remain unchanged.
  • Again Kyiv elections are notable for opposition between new faces in Ukrainian policy and political old-timers that lay claims to any potentially reachable posts and tend to participate in every election campaign on Ukraine’s political agenda. The bright examples of new faces are Andriy Palchevskiy, Sergiy Prytula, Garik Korogodskiy. The bright examples of political old-timers are Ihor Smeshko, Anatoliy Grytsenko, Vyacheslav Kyrylenko, Mykola Katerynchuk. Also, the list of potential candidates included several politicians that had a significant experience of work in Kyiv municipality and even four candidates that already served as mayors of Kyiv or heads of Kyiv State Administration - Vitaliy Klychko, Oleksandr Omelchenko, Oleksandr Popov, and Ivan Saliy.

The international research center BURI (The Belgium-Ukraine Research Institute) conducted the survey in Kyiv on October 1-4, 2019. Total quantity of respondents equaled 2012 individuals (representative sample). The survey method – combined interviews. Error margin is 2.2%.

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