Posted on Mar 21, 2020
In the UK death rates from coronavirus now appear to be following the same trajectory as Italy: indeed, at this stage the rate in the UK is actually rising faster than in Italy, where it currently stands at 7%. Germany, by comparison, is showing a mortality rate of just 0.2%.
At the time of writing, there have been 44 deaths in Germany, from 15,320 cases. In the UK there have been 144 deaths from just 3,269 reported cases, 4.41%.
Against this disturbing backdrop, Northwick Park Hospital in northwest London declared a “critical incident” on Friday due to shortage of intensive care beds caused by a rise in the number of patients with COVID-19, the disease caused by coronavirus. It was forced to ask nearby hospitals to look after patients as it could not cope with the Covid-19 patients it was receiving.
Staff were reportedly told that the hospital did not have enough space for patients needing critical care: “Critical care capacity for patients with coronavirus is being organised on a cross-London basis so that hospitals and organisations work together to deliver the best possible care for patients and that is what has happened in this case.”
It's beyond me why people can't see what they are creating by just continuing to go out. We're treating the people who were infected two weeks ago and we're getting full. People getting infected now who will be treated in two weeks' time, I don't know what's going to happen. I've been doing this for three weeks and it's getting worse. There are doctors and nurses going down. Healthcare workers will die. I've cried. My colleagues have cried. I've been doing this for 25 years and I've never seen anything like this. It's catastrophic.
The number of people confirmed or suspected to have Covid-19 being treated in an intensive care unit (ICU) in hospitals in south London rose from seven on Friday 6th March to 93 on Tuesday 17th March – a fifteenfold increase in 12 days, according to an unpublished NHS report seen by The Guardian newspaper.
Given we're in the low foothills of this virus, this is fucking petrifying.
Although Public Health England (PHE) now collects figures showing how many people with Covid-19 are receiving critical care each day from all 134 acute hospital trusts in England, the NHS and government are not publishing them, and are refusing requests from the press to do so.
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- Boris Johnson's response to Coronavirus: say much, do little, but protect the bankers
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