No turning back on an EU pullout from the Energy Charter Treaty
It is now official. The European Union will leave the Energy Charter Treaty (ECT). The much maligned energy pact, carefully designed and established by Brussels in the 1990s in order to protect European investment in ‘lawless’ yet resource-rich Russia, Central Asia and the Caspian, is now abandoned by its creators.
Following the official notification by the European Commission (7 July 2023), the coordinated withdrawal from the ECT by the EU and its member states is no longer a matter of speculation. It is the looming and imminent reality. While France, Germany, Poland and Luxembourg have already taken the formal and legal steps necessary to leave the Treaty, the remaining EU countries are queuing at the exit. Portugal announced that it would withdraw following July’s EU Energy Council.
Speculation is also rife that non-EU heavy-weight ECT member states, such as the United Kingdom, are also lining up to pull out of the Treaty. This news comes despite earlier arguments by Brexiteers that London will embrace a multilateral trade and investment culture beyond the EU, of which the ECT forms a large part.
Apart from the United Kingdom, other non-EU ECT members are also said to be considering their options following the official notification by the Commission. Uzbekistan had already declined to host the ECT Chairmanship in 2023, in what was seen as another blow for the Organisation.
What went so badly wrong with the ECT?
So what went so badly wrong with the ECT, given that it has always been perceived as Brussels’ (and the Commission’s) baby? Mothers are normally protective of their children. In this case it may be so that the ECT child fell out of favour over the years, after the mother nurtured further children such as the Energy Community Treaty, the European Green Deal and the ‘Fit for 55’ package.
The father then ‘divorced’ the mother, when Russia pulled out of the Treaty some ten years ago. Then came a major spat within the family – European investors started using the ECT as a legal stick with which to whip their governments following the Commission’s insistence that they promote renewable energy in place of fossil fuels.
Arbitration claims against EU member countries such as Spain, Germany, Italy and others ran into many billions of Euros. A legal instrument created by Europeans to export their legal norms and values to ‘unrefined Cossacks and nomads’ was now turned against ‘civilised’ European governments for breaching the rule of law when it came to the rights of European investors.
Madrid, Berlin and Rome were outraged. Enough was enough when it came to investment protection – at least as far as multilateral binding agreements within the legal space of the EU were concerned. The Commission had to do something. ECT top boss at the time, Secretary General Urban Rusnak of Slovakia, at first strongly backed by the EU, became Brussels’ bad boy.
While the ECT was adopted well before the Paris Agreement on Climate surfaced in November 2015, the Paris Agreement itself in fact became the Commission’s blessing in disguise. Almost immediately following Paris, the ECT became subject to a tirade of scathing attacks from the European climate lobby and was stamped with the label of protector of the fossil fuels industry.
Green NGOs from around Europe mobbed the ECT in the media like bees around the hive.
The Treaty suddenly became a servant of ‘big oil’. Rusnak literally became the anti-Christ of European climate crusaders – despite the fact that the majority of ECT arbitration claims made by investors against EU governments were submitted to the courts to protect billions of Euros invested in solar energy. Such investments, as well as the Treaty’s capacity to protect them, in fact served the climate goals which the Paris Agreement set out to achieve.
Inconvenient truths were ignored, however. Many voices started to call on the EU to pull out of the ECT. Even Greta Thunberg called on the European Commission to pull the EU out of the Treaty.
Another questionable EU masterstroke
And here things become interesting when it comes to the Treaty’s current demise. One of Brussels’ leading voices who joined in the ECT-bashing bandwagon was one Claude Turmes esq, Luxembourg’s happy-go-lucky energy minister, who was long-known in Brussels as a somewhat eccentric Green MEP.
Dr. Urban Rusnak.
But while Turmes repeatedly called on the EU to leave the Treaty, and simultaneously pushed for a political audit to investigate Rusnak’s management of the ECT in 2019, he suddenly u-turned a year later. In February 2021 Turmes turned chameleon and said, rather astonishingly, that the EU should stick by the Treaty. ‘Now is not the time for the EU to withdraw’, he stated at the time.
But Rusnak was to become the sacrificial lamb. Staunchly backed by the Commission’s energy bureaucrats, Turmes endorsed an unknown bureaucrat from Luxembourg’s Representation to the EU, Guy Lentz, as a ‘single EU candidate’ to succeed Rusnak as the ECT’s Secretary General.
Lentz was dressed up by the Commission’s bureaucrats during the selection procedure in 2021 as a man of superior intellect (to Rusnak), high integrity and a champion of (what became dubbed as) the ‘Modernisation’ of the ECT. Lentz, would herald a new, modernised Treaty, and make the Commission’s dated baby of the 1990s compatible with the Paris Agreement. At least that was the plan.
Like many of the Commission’s other brainwaves, things did not exactly go according to the script. The selection procedure to appoint Lentz was fiercely resisted within the 53-country strong ECT governing body, particularly by the many non-EU members. Many of these countries backed Rusnak to continue as Secretary-General in advance of an ECT governing body meeting which took place in April 2021, where the appointment of the future Secretary General was to be sealed.
Many held little trust in Turmes and his many u-turns. When it came to Lentz, it seems that his preference for adorning himself with colourful wrist bracelets as Luxembourg’s ‘hippie Century 21’, instead of wearing conventional business attire at work, failed to win-over many within the ECT constituency.
Following the quarrelsome selection procedure and the Commission going out of its way to prevent Rusnak from running during the April 2021 governing body, Lentz became the ECT’s top boss, with some high hopes.
Upon his assumption of the ECT’s Secretary General-ship on 1 January 2022, he told his quorum of 25 employees at the Energy Charter Secretariat that “we will modernise this treaty for the benefit of our children’s future and I will expand the organisation to 100 member countries”, according to those who worked with him at the time.
Rusnak, in the meantime, went to the courts, filing several claims against the Organisation for ‘moving the goalposts’ on the appointment procedure of the Secretary General while the procedure itself was ongoing.
Appointments made in Tokyo – with a little help from Brussels
While the appointment of Guy Lentz as the EU’s single-candidate-top-boss of the organisation is interesting, the appointment of the ECT’s No.2 boss deserves no lesser attention. Since Russia’s withdrawal from the ECT around a decade ago, Japan’s role within the Organisation has been on the rise. Tokyo held the Chairmanship of the ECT in 2016 and a Japanese national was given carte blanche to be the organisation’s No.2 ranked official as of 2017. While the ECT is largely the EU’s baby,
Japan is the single largest country contributor to the organisation’s budget due to the might of its economy, churning out some 800,000+ Euros per year from the public purse to pay ECT salaries. Around a quarter of this amount goes towards the annual benefits package of the ECT’s No.2 official, a Japanese national, who became resident in Brussels.
From early 2017 to mid-2019, the ECT’s No.2 boss was a Japanese engineer-academic, Masami Nakata, who served as Rusnak’s deputy. Nakata had little, if any, energy background and had no previous management experience before being parachuted by Tokyo into the ECT position.
However, in mid-2019, she was fired from the organisation in sensational circumstances for authoring a clandestine report full of scathing allegations against Rusnak and for seeking to discredit the organisation in public. While Nakata’s dismissal caused tension between Rusnak and Tokyo, the latter continued to push for another Japanese national to replace her as the organisation’s No.2.
During the first half of 2021, the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs conducted an ebullient demarche pushing for Atsuko Hirose, a former Japanese government employee, to be appointed as ECT Deputy Secretary General. The appointment procedure for the ECT Deputy Secretary General was a little more competitive than the parallel procedure for the ECT top post, with candidates from Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and Ukraine facing off against Japan’s Hirose.
All three candidates facing up to the pre-retirement-aged Japanese woman had decades of energy experience – the Georgian candidate alone had worked 14 years with the IEA in Paris and with the ECT prior to that.
As was the case with Japan’s Masami Nakata, Atsuko Hirose held no track record in the energy sector and like Luxembourg’s Guy Lentz, was largely unknown to the public. She was a well-educated, American-trained lawyer who was promoted by the Japanese government for the role to ensure a system of ‘check and balances’ under the EU leadership of the ECT.
Money talks, however, as does the lobby power of the world’s most powerful governments and their diplomatic networks, when it comes to employment at international organisations. Atusko Hirose became the ECT’s Deputy Secretary General barely three months before EU-monopoly candidate Guy Lentz was appointed as the top boss.
At face value, this was not a bad nor irrational combination of top figures to lead the ECT. Japan and the EU member states collectively account for well over 3 million Euros of the organisation’s 4 million Euro annual budget. Both the EU and Japan had publicly backed the Treaty’s modernisation process, which started under Rusnak and was heading towards a conclusion before he was succeeded by Lentz.
The bright future which did not happen
The ECT’s modernisation involved complex multi-party negotiations (50+ countries) which were already ongoing for two years when Lentz and Hirose took up their appointments. An agreement on modernisation between the ECT member states, for which the Commission was pushing hard, was anticipated for summer 2022. There was substantial expectation that the organisation could be reformed. The clouds of the climate storm hovering over the Treaty during the Rusnak years appeared to be receding – in a newly emerging era for the Organisation overseen by the new duo of Lentz and Hirose.
Fast forward to summer 2023. Barely a year-and-a-half has passed since the duo have taken up their appointments at the organisation.
The ECT – the iconic Treaty created by the EU in the 1990s to promote energy investment and trade across Europe and Asia – is on the brink of total and utter disintegration. The EU’s biggest and probably most powerful member countries – France, Germany, Italy – are either withdrawing or have already withdrawn from the Agreement. The European Energy Commissioner, Kadri Simson, has announced that the entire EU will withdraw with imminent effect.
The Commissioner’s announcement follows on from President Macron of France proclaiming on twitter towards the end of last year that the ECT is no longer compatible with Europe’s future energy landscape.
Robert Habeck, Germany’s star vice-Chancellor and Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, has himself penned a letter to Secretary General Lentz announcing Germany’s pull out. Even the colourful Claude Turmes, the man who endorsed Lentz’s monopoly appointment as Secretary General, tweeted Luxembourg’s own withdrawal from the Treaty in late 2022, in what was yet another flamboyant u-turn.
As the ECT empire burns, Nero fiddles…
Why has the situation changed so rapidly and so radically for the ECT and what have the Organisation’s two top bosses – Guy Lentz and Atsuko Hirose – done to prevent the crisis from deepening following their appointments?
While the mandate of the two top officials justifying their cumulative compensation packages of half a million Euros of taxpayers’ money is based on promoting and defending the organisation’s objectives, it seems that the duo have a somewhat different interpretation of their roles. While Rusnak and his late-predecessor Secretary General before him, Belgian diplomat Andre Mernier, conducted hundreds of missions to engage stakeholders and promote the organisation’s objectives far and wide, the ECT’s new Secretary General appears to preferred to slumber through the crisis.
Shortly after receiving Robert Habeck’s letter of Germany’s ECT withdrawal in the autumn of 2022, at the launch of the ECT’s flagship investment report in Brussels, Secretary General Lentz ( pictured left) – adorning himself with colourful wrist bracelets and his glasses lost on the floor – decided that taking a nap in the middle of the event was the better part of valour.
At another event, a national day reception hosted by the Embassy of Kazakhstan, Secretary General Lentz was reportedly slightly the worse for wear. Kazakhstan is an important member country of the ECT.
Monsieur Lentz’s disinterest in the ECT’s future and his habit of not only sleeping during official events but likewise speaking endlessly about his horse and holiday home in Calais, France, during formal diplomatic meetings has become a running joke amongst the diplomats of ECT member state representations in Brussels.
ECT employees speaking with anonymity, jokingly compare the Secretary General to Roman emperor) Nero ‘fiddling while Rome burned’. Sources suggest there is no shortage of eyewitness accounts of the ECT’s top boss imbibing in the middle of the working day at the expensive café of Rob Gastronomy Supermarket, located on Boulevard de Woluwe, near the ECT Secretariat premises.
Strange phone calls from the Secretary General to Secretariat employees reportedly tend to follow such sojourns.
In fact ECT staff quietly joke among themselves about the café having become the new de facto HQ of the Secretariat, where executive (non)-decisions about the organisation’s future are now made.
The Secretary General has not taken kindly to criticism of his tenure, which has already been widely reported in the Brussels media, including his dubious level of written English and the lashing out at the media in the infamous Twitter tantrum which was picked up by Politico last year.
The Secretary General has not taken kindly to criticism of his tenure, which has already been widely reported in the Brussels media, including his dubious level of written English and the lashing out at the media in the infamous Twitter tantrum which was picked up by Politico last year.
But this has not stopped the flow of jokes about him being tipsy at work and sleeping his way through ECT events and receptions since taking up his appointment at the start of last year.
Festivities and the cultural high life in Brussels are the order of the day
Deputy Secretary General Hirose, for her part, has also taken a liking for the Brussels diplomatic reception circuit since arriving in Belgium in the autumn of 2021. The organisation’s official website provides some entertaining viewing about her persona.
Most international organisations tend to exhibit their latest achievements and publications on their websites. However, the ECT’s new heroine has rather ebulliently transformed the organisation’s official website into her personal Instagram account, which has become populated by her endless attendances at Brussels evening diplomatic receptions, courtesy visits and other society events.
A thorough review of the news section of the ECT website since Monsieur Lentz and Madam Hirose took charge of the Organisation illustrates impressive statistics:
– Out of 180+ news items published over the last year-and-a-half, there was not a single piece of information about the ECT bosses engaging EU member countries about their announced intention to leave the Treaty.
– To the contrary, there were 100+ news items about events, courtesy visits and society receptions devoted to non-EU countries, which the ECT bosses cheerfully attended and proudly ‘sold’ to the public as ‘achievements’ through the website.
These are rather amazing statistics, which even outshine the number of renewable energy arbitration claims filed by European investors against EU member states, according to figures on the ECT website.
Most of the news has nothing to do with the organisation as such, its achievements or activities, and, sadly enough, nothing to show for any efforts to mitigate the crisis of the organisation’s looming collapse. Instead, Madam Hirose decorates the organisation’s website with her attendances of national cultural days of ECT member countries, or frolicking on weekends with the Ambassadors of some of the Treaty’s observers.
Most of the news has nothing to do with the organisation as such, its achievements or activities, and, sadly enough, nothing to show for any efforts to mitigate the crisis of the organisation’s looming collapse. Instead, Madam Hirose decorates the organisation’s website with her attendances of national cultural days of ECT member countries, or frolicking on weekends with the Ambassadors of some of the Treaty’s observers.
Deputy Secretary General Atsuko Hirose (pictured right) attends Mongolia – EU Cultural Day and the Celebration on the National Day of the Republic of Kazakhstan (The ECT website of course includes multiple photos of Madam Hirose attending cultural programmes)
Did he say something interesting on the phone?
According to sources Madam Hirose appears to keeps herself busy by correcting the Secretary-General’s English language correspondence and by controlling the email space between the ECT boss and other Secretariat officials. She has also become embroiled in several harassment cases with a number of her subordinate employees, leading to a ‘highly toxic’ working environment at the organisation.
In fact, a spate of court claims has already been filed against the leadership of Monsieur Secretary General and Madam Deputy, with several employees of the organisation having no alternative but the legal route in search of compensation for harassment and other damages which they have suffered. Perhaps the ECT leadership feel that they can run the organisation as a personal fiefdom, when the political structure of the Treaty is in disarray? Or they may hold the view that the EU withdrawal will beckon indifference from European countries to the victimisation and mistreatment of the staff of the Secretariat.
And to top it all off, the cherry on the cake is now the pending criminal proceedings against the organisation following Madam Hirose’s involvement last year in an illegal recording of the private phone calls of a Secretariat official.
The proceedings against the Secretariat following the scandal remain an open matter and have led to the firing of several employees. It appears that the brazen Madam Hirose is not afraid to tread dangerous waters, although she may likely have already faced prosecution had it not been for a little help from Tokyo in view of her diplomatic immunity.
The EU’s 21st Century Titanic
All of this is leading to a perfect storm. The distinct lack of interest of the ECT top bosses in the future of the crganisation, for which they are collectively paid approx. half a million Euros a year in public money, combined with the social and sleeping habits, meaningless receptions and courtesy visits, has turned the ECT into the EU’s 21st Century Titanic.
The new Japanese-Luxemburguese duo has driven the one-time important energy security organisation into such a state of crisis and disrepair that it begs the question of whether their EU and Japanese masters secretly held a different agenda to successfully modernising the ECT when they placed them at the leadership helm of the Organisation.
After all, the ECT bosses have done their best to be as least transparent as possible when it came to the ECT modernisation process, keeping the Modernised Energy Treaty hidden from public scrutiny. They have made the EU-driven Treaty Organisation comparable to the Soviet – as opposed to the European – Union in terms of openness and public accountability.
Japan, after all, never wanted to modernise the Treaty, according to several anonymous accounts sourced from ECT modernisation negotiators. And given that we now know that the EU is officially pulling out, and recalling Claude’s famous u-turns, it can no longer be taken for granted that the EU was ever serious about modernisation either.
Anonymous sources from within the modernisation negotiations point to the view that several ECT member countries, particularly Switzerland, were furious at the EU when they learned that completing the modernisation process was no longer on the table. But this may have something to do with the fact that Switzerland strongly backed Lentz to oust Rusnak as Secretary General in 2021 and that the former did not do the job that was expected of him.
Luxembourg has proven quite shrewd at making U-turns when it comes to the ECT, as we have already learned.
The power struggle to succeed Nero
So what of the future of the organisation? Is there any light shining at the end of the ECT tunnel and what will happen to the 24 public servants working at the Energy Charter, some of whom have been with the ECT since the 1990s?
An optimistic streak may be hard to find given the one-and-a-half years of mismanagement of the organisation, where social habits and eagerness to entertain at cultural events have become the new passion.
As was the case with Ancient Rome, when Nero fiddled and the empire burned, a power struggle is likely. Madam Hirose’s desire to become the organisation’s top boss is widely rumoured within the ECT secretariat.
In fact, there was widespread gossip in Brussels diplomatic circles that Japan’s high-level officials, personally called the Secretary General demanding that he resigns immediately after Luxembourg announced that it would withdraw from the ECT last November. Madam Hirose even drafted a resignation letter for the Secretary General on his behalf, according to anonymous accounts provided by ECT Secretariat officials.
The often truculent (according to his staff) Monsieur Lentz stood firm in the wake of Japan bringing on a mini-Pearl Harbour-style demarche. In fact he even struck back with his own broadside at Madam Hirose.
He reportedly accused her of harassing employees at an ECT governing board meeting in January this year, complained endlessly about her to ECT colleagues and ‘blamed her for just about everything bad that happens at the organisation’.
Despite the pressure, and further rumours that he would quit by June of this year, he has yet to relinquish power. Whilst clearly realising that Luxembourg’s withdrawal from the ECT has left him as an emperor without clothes, Guy Lentz continues to remain the head of the organisation.
The exchanges of threats and blackmails between the two ECT bosses are believed to be continuing at the time of writing. The latest rumours permeating within the Secretariat now are that Secretary General Lentz has announced long-term medical leave and will be absent from work until the end of 2023.
The jury is now out as to whether he will even return to work. The pendulum may be finally swinging in Madam Hirose’s favour. More importantly, her strategy of appointing trusted female colleagues to oversee internal disputes and the Secretariat’s administration may finally yield the fruit of her rumoured ambition to become ECT boss.
From energy security to the jungles of the Amazon
In the event that Madam Hirose succeeds in her pursuit of power, the organisation may likely transform into a club of neo-Amazonians, according to the opinion of a number of current and former-Secretariat officials who have observed her behaviour at close hand. It is an open secret within the Energy Charter that Madam Hirose is a devout feminist.
She openly advocates her passion for ‘gender equality’ during public meetings in Brussels and at ECT events.
She reputedly influenced the dismissal of three male officials by the Secretary General during 2022, under what were described as “highly contentious circumstances,”. All three male officials dismissed were married and enjoyed stable family lives.
Madam Hirose also appointed a new female recruit to help with the Secretariat’s administration matters in November 2022.
Strangely enough, Madam’s new recruit was a French national, and was hired at exactly the moment when President Macron announced last year that France will leave the Treaty. Both Monsieur Lentz and Madam Hirose’s new recruit would have to leave the organisation as soon as Luxembourg and France formally leave the ECT.
Just one week following her arrival at the organisation, the new recruit reportedly provided staunch support for Madam Hirose in the attempted dismissal of another male staffer from the organisation. Madam Hirose then forced through the early resignation of the Chair of the Secretariat’s internal dispute resolution body, a male Dutch diplomat, and his replacement with another female ally, with whom she had worked at the EBRD in London.
Since the time when the former-EBRD General Council started overseeing disputes within the Secretariat, there has not been a single unfavourable decision taken against Madam Hirose. There is no awareness as to whether she has informed the former-General Council of the EBRD of the clandestine phone call recordings and the criminal proceedings against the organisation which she has creatively inspired. However, the fact that the latter now oversees disputes at the Secretariat, makes it unlikely that Monsieur Lentz will be able to ever again accuse her of harassment at ECT governing board meetings.
The fact that Secretary General is also a married man, make possibly her efforts to eject him yet more enriched by personal satisfaction, one source speculated.
Indeed, what could be more important for her, while the ECT Titanic was plummeting to the ocean floor, than to travel on the organisation’s budget from Brussels to Tbilisi, Georgia, to attend a Women’s International Conference on 1 July 2023 – just one week before we hit the iceberg of the EU coordinated withdrawal from the Treaty.
ECT Deputy Secretary-General Hirose at the Women’s International Conference in Tbilisi (pictured left, with usual festivities in the background)
See you in court, Monsieur Lentz and Madam Hirose?
When it comes to the future of the Secretariat’s employees, there is little scope for optimism. In fact a decision to force through the termination of the employment of up to 15 out of 24 employees is about the only matter that the two ECT top bosses appear to have agreed upon.
In fact they may well have conceived the plot in unison, supported by the organisation’s newly recruited head of administration, Natalia Zbirciog, who has also become embroiled with several employees since her arrival at the end of last year. Terminating staff contracts is of course a subject of far more importance than saving a modernised ECT, pushing for protection for billions of Euros of green energy investments or promoting other core objectives of their mandate as the organisation’s principals.
It has already been reported to ECT Members that all three male officials fired by the Lentz-Hirose duo in 2022 – in highly contentious circumstances – have turned to the Administrative Tribunal of the International Labour Organisation (ILOAT) to defend their rights. The mistreated officials are seeking monetary compensation for the damage the duo have caused to their budding careers. Efforts by all three to reach an amicable settlement with the organisation have been duly rejected. Promises have been broken. Further U-turns, similar to those of Claude Turmes on the EU withdrawal from the ECT, have become commonplace.
Some of the fired officials were reportedly told by Monsieur Lentz and Madam Hirose that ‘we have been instructed by the Commission to let people go’. So, was it not the two ECT bosses but the European Commission which is responsible for the looming massive layoff, we might well ask?
With more heads now firmly on the block in mid-2023, the spate of ILOAT claims against the organisation by its employees threatens to exceed the number of ECT claims made by investors against EU member states. There are more than 100 of the latter, with claims running into the billions of Euros. The mess created by the ECT bosses and the chaos that now reigns within the organisation has reached unimaginable proportions – even by prevailing EU high standards such as the recent ‘Qatargate’ scandal which rocked the European Parliament.
Let the ECT Titanic sink into the abyss, but don’t look at me
And here the question comes directly to the European Commission and to the government of Japan – would it not be better to spend half a million Euros of taxpayers’ money to hire someone to run the ECT who cares about the Paris Agreement, or about promoting green energy investments and protecting the future of our planet?
Or did Brussels and Tokyo prefer to run the organisation from Rob Gastronomy wine bar, promote International Women’s Day in Georgia, whilst harassing male colleagues and drowning the Energy Charter in an endless spate of lawsuits? A nice organisation to work for, where you need to think twice before making a phone call…
But it may have been the case that Japan and the European Commission came to a Faustian pact to ditch the ECT in its entirety. Or maybe the entire, costly three-year-long ECT modernisation exercise involving 50+ countries was little more than a political charade for some.
A slow yet ruthless winding down of the organisation may have been seen as the better option all along. The space for conspiracies will only grow further as long as those faceless and nameless forces of bureaucracy in Brussels and Tokyo who inserted the current ECT bosses into their positions of power keep playing “don’t look at me” while the EU’s 21st Century Titanic sinks completely into the abyss.
